The USMCA (United States,
Mexico, Canada Agreement) appears to be done. After months worrying that the
North American trading block would deteriorate beyond possible repair Congress
has finally gotten its adjustments. No one in Congress Democrat or Republican believed
we should exit the block. Trump may have believed it at one point but as
desperation for a policy win increased the pressure to reach an agreement forced
compromise with Canada and Mexico. Despite an agreement between the negotiators,
the agreement has not been ratified.
The agreement stalled in Congress.
Not necessarily because of simple opposition to President Trump but largely due
to the pressure put on members about specific elements. Interest groups advocating
specific policy outcomes sought modifications to the agreement. Interest groups
seeking protections or subsidies for their industry. In every modern trade
agreement, certain protection has existed for certain industries. For years the
United States has been very protective of subsidies given to the agricultural sector.
Canada has done the same for its dairy industry using a system of pricing that restricts
U.S. exports to the country. Every country does this. Free trade is not that free
thus making agreements like the USMCA even more detailed. Navigating the
complex interest of various domestic actors is a prime example of the
connection between foreign and domestic policy.
Finding a middle ground
for all parties can be difficult at times. The USMCA has languished in the House
for over a year. Interest groups from tech companies to union groups have
raised concerns to Representatives about the agreement. Finding compromise is
necessary for the era almost free trade. Despite the difficulty, an agreement
has been reached and the House has passed the agreement. Why has McConnell
decided to let a hard won success languish even more during impeachment? Is
part of some greater political strategy or punishment on someone? Pundits and
commentators can speculate all they want and never reach an answer. At the end
of the day, the USMCA is good for the U.S. and negotiating it involved the
complex relationship between economic interest groups and Congress who must
answer for their vote.
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