Predictably, the North Koreans are pretty jazzed about this
as they’ve tried unsuccessfully 4 times since 1998. Apparently sending a
satellite into orbit is a rather tricky business – it is actual rocket science.
Even on Monday there were concerns that the launch would have to be delayed
another week or two due to technical problems. However, the scientists
prevailed and sent the Kwangmyongsong-3 satellite into orbit.
The Kwangmyongsong-3 is an Unha-3, a three-stage “carrier
rocket” with a range of about 10,000 kilometers. This website displays all the
interesting places located within 10,000 km from Pyongyang, for those curious.
North Korea denies any militant intentions, claiming it to be just a satellite
launch. They hope that the satellite will send images of crop conditions around
the country as well as weather patterns. The rest of the world remains
skeptical. The U.S., South Korea and Japan have all deployed naval destroyers
with interception capabilities to the Korean Peninsula, just in case.
The same mechanism used to launch a satellite into orbit
could easily be used to send a nuclear warhead-tipped long-range missile. North
Korea has tested nuclear devices twice since 2006 and is very likely to be
attempting to miniaturize warheads in order to mount them on these long-range
missiles.
In response to today’s events, South Korea, Japan and the
U.S. will most likely seek harsher sanctions from the U.N. Security Council.
The current sanctions have placed a ban on buying or selling materials used in
missile or nuclear development and have frozen the assets of individuals and
organizations involved in this work. Japan has gone further, banning North Koreans
from entering the country and cutting off bilateral trade.
For the record, the Security Council has condemned the
launch and has said that it will consider “an appropriate response.”
So, what is an appropriate response to such an event? Is
this a breach of U.N. sanctions if the satellite is indeed just for taking
plant and cloud pictures? Can sanctions effectively halt further progress?
Should the U.S. follow Japan’s lead and impose further restrictions?
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