I believe Adam Berinsky’s theory of elite cueing makes
sense. The public decides what political ideology they like and then they take
their cues from leaders of that ideology.
When reading about U.S. inaction in the Rwanda genocide it
seems as though top leaders did not want to use the term “genocide” when
informing the American public about the issue. They did use “acts of genocide”,
but were reluctant to ever be forthright about the genocide occurring. This is because government officials were
afraid that the public would demand a response to the ethnic killings in
Rwanda; they thought Americans would be willing to sacrifice a few lives to
save hundreds of thousands in Rwanda.
Even though I believe elite cue theory is valid, I'm not
sure if it could be applied to this case study.
On the one hand it’s almost working in reverse because the elite were
afraid the non-elite public would demand action against the genocide. On the
other hand, maybe because the elite knew that if they used the term genocide
they would have to intervene. Therefore,
the public would take its cue from the elite and would also demand action.
Berinsky believes that foreign policy is connected to
domestic policies. I would agree with
him here as well. In the 1990s the U.S.
wanted to reap the peace dividend they won at the end of the Cold War. They were not looking to get involved in
other conflicts. And they also had the
“Somalia Syndrome” working against them; the government was weary of becoming
involved in humanitarian missions that would risk U.S. lives.
However, even more important than discussing Berinsky’s
ideas is how the U.S. government bureaucracy prevented action in Rwanda. Presidential Decision Directive (PDD) 25
solidified trends in the U.S. national security process that made action in
Rwanda extremely difficult. It greatly
expanded the Department of Defense’s (DoD) role in policy formulation instead
of giving authority to the State Department.
PDD 25 was focused on humanitarian missions, but since the DoD was given
more power, they were the ones to decide if action should be taken.
The military decided they were not equipped to focus on two
wars at once and did not see the Rwandan mission as protecting national
interests. The government had the
opportunity to decide how they should respond to humanitarian crises, but
instead created a system that focused on consensus and crippled the very
process that was supposed to develop effective courses of action.
In conclusion, when reading through the case study it was
disheartening to see that the U.S. government had been provided with warnings of
the possibility of violence and genocide, but were not prepared to
respond. Even more disturbing was the fact
that it was obvious that genocide was taking place and that they refused to acknowledge
it. Hopefully case studies like this
will invite discourse and new ideas on how to improve bureaucratic decision-making
models within the national security process.
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