Thursday, October 26, 2017

China just concluded its 19th Party Congress, and is ambitions to only be regional power. Rather than just planning for the next 5 years, Chinese President Xi Jinping has looked far to the future. The Chinese leader, who just locked down another 5 years in his current position, is looking far to the future. President Xi has set an ambitious 30 year goals on many fronts. With no heir apparent, it is clear that Xi is the new Mao. Having cemented power at home, it is clear that Xi will begin to look outward. For the United States, this means that China will move from being just a regional military power to being a global power; a power that will challenge U.S. hegemony.
Given the recent border crisis on India, coupled with the elevation of China's lead negotiator on the border issues to the Politburo, it seems that settling this issue will be China's first move. With Xi stating that he wants an army that can "win wars" and military commander from the region that borders India on the Central Committee, it appears that Xi has prioritized this issue. With the two countries having already fought a war over this issue in the past and having had minor disputes intermittently, how Xi solves this will be a great indication of China's future behavior.
The end goal of Xi's plans is to modernize its forces by 2035. Fifteen years later they plan to have a 'global presence.' It is clear, much like the United States in the aftermath of WW2, China plans to abandoned its traditional role in world affairs and move to be one that can influence the world through military and economic power. These developments, in addition to the One Belt One Road initiative, set China on a path to this. Whether this will put them in conflict with the United States remains to be seen.

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