As a result of the
United States having the USS Lassen travel near one of China’s man made islands
in the South China Sea, the already hot war of rhetoric in the region has
increased once again. The Global Times labeled the maneuver as a political show and went on to
further state that China has no fear of a military engagement with the United
States. With such saber rattling occurring, should Washington and
its allies in the region fear Chinese aggression if the “freedom of the sea
patrols” continue to occur?
Notwithstanding the
economic implications that a conflict with china would have for the world,
examining what may happen in terms of military action is interesting. China has
greatly expanded its A2/Ad capabilities; a move that most observers agree
intends to push the United States out of the direct littoral region surrounding
China. However, with all of the investment in this strategy, I think that
China has severely limited itself. This military
doctrine is only effective if the United States were to deploy forces within
range of Chinese Dong Feng 21Ds, or that the forces that the United States
would deploy would be those appropriate for Chinese to use A2/AD capabilities
(Warships, Carriers, and Aircraft).
(EIA)
In spite of the advances of the A2/AD capabilities, I think that the
current strategy of the United States in the region with regards to alliance
building offers an applicable counter. By using the growing alliance and
cooperation framework that Washington now has, it would be possible to contain
any Chinese naval vessels to the South China Sea, and effectively close any
chokepoints throughout the Pacific that the Chinese rely on for energy
importation. American assets could effectively act on a policy of “waiting out
the Chinese”; letting the countries massive needs on material resources settle
the conflict.
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